Oscar Predictions

I'm not a big fan of Oscar Predictions but I am fond of the pithy little Will Win/Should Win/Was Robbed/Doesn't Belong rubric that a lot of newspapers use. So here are my picks, subject to change at the last minute.

Best Supporting Actress

Will Win: Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Should Win: Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Was Robbed: Olivia Williams, The Ghost Writer
Doesn't Belong: Amy Adams, The Fighter

Best Supporting Actor

Will Win: Christian Bale, The Fighter

Should Win: Christian Bale, The Fighter

Was Robbed: Matt Damon, True Grit

Doesn't Belong: Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right

Best Actress

Will Win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Should Win: Natalie Portman, Black Swan

Was Robbed: Tilda Swinton, I Am Love

Doesn't Belong: I abstain

Best Actor

Will Win: Colin Firth, The King's Speech

Should Win: Colin Firth, The King's Speech

Was Robbed: Ciaran Hinds, The Eclipse

Doesn't Belong: James Franco, 127 Hours

Best Director

Will Win: David Fincher, The Social Network

Should Win: David Fincher, The Social Network

Was Robbed: Christopher Nolan, Inception

Doesn't Belong: Tom Hooper, The King's Speech

Best Picture

Will Win: The King's Speech

Should Win: True Grit

Was Robbed: The Ghost Writer

Doesn't Belong: 127 Hours